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With more investors looking for defensive trades, what counts as a defensive trade in today’s environment? Differences in valuation—and different interpretations of what counts as defensive—mean that not all such trades are equal.
Inigo Fraser-Jenkins | March 20, 2025The unwinding of “Trump trades,” a spike in volatility and the outperformance of European versus US equities have sparked debate about whether this is a tactical shift or the beginnings of a longer bearish trajectory for markets.
Inigo Fraser-Jenkins, Alla Harmsworth | March 17, 2025The risk of higher equilibrium inflation is a key marker of the notion that investors face a new regime. Recent policy announcements have lent more weight to the idea that the path of inflation might be upward. In this note we focus on the disparate forces that imply a higher long-term level of inflation.
Inigo Fraser-Jenkins | March 10, 2025