Expert Insights on the Economy, markets, and the critical impacts to investments
Capital Markets Outlook
Your Guide to Market Trends and Opportunities
Get ahead with quarterly insights from leading experts on key drivers of economics and market shifts. From macro trends to investment strategies, we equip you with actionable insightst and perspectives to cut through the noise and seize emerging opportunities.
Last Quarter
Get Caught Up on Last Quarter's Outlook
Explore our topics from 4Q 2024 Capital Markets Outlook- Normalization: Endgame
What We Discussed:
23 October 2024
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5 min read
Normalization and expected Fed rate cuts create a compelling environment for investors who do their homework.
08 November 2024
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5 min watch
Despite strong returns for both equities and fixed income investments this year, investors will need to be selective to find the best opportunities as markets move into a more normal economic environment. AB's Senior Investment Strategist, Walt Czaicki, highlights opportunities in this new landscape, such as healthcare and infrastructure companies, dividend-growth stocks, and high-yield bonds.
What We'll Discuss
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The “macro gap” in Fed rate cut expectations:
As key variables such as inflation, growth and the labor market have normalized, Fed members have reached diverse conclusions on the best next steps for monetary policy. We’ll discuss what rate path we expect and scenarios that could upend current trends.
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The “fundamental gap” between earnings and multiples:
Earnings have started to exit their multiyear stupor, but multiples have forgotten to take a breather. This doesn’t have to mean the party’s over, but it is a reminder that portfolios need more diversification. We’ll assess the market landscape and which areas we think offer the best opportunities.
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The “political gap” between present and future fiscal policies:
The Biden administration will give way to the Trump administration in 2025. As we overlay Trump’s platform on current trends, we expect fiscal policy to play a bigger market role over the next four years. We’ll review the policy menu and its potential effects.
More for You
Webcast Replay
63 min watch
AB's Capital Markets Committee discuss opportunities across asset classes and market segments our quarterly outlook webcast.
5 min read
With growth moderating and inflation cooling, the US seems on track for a soft landing—as markets digest a stream of incoming information.
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Latest Outlooks
Explore Our Latest Outlooks
01 October 2024
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4 min read
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Market conditions are shifting fast. But making impulsive changes to equity portfolios and allocations can be counterproductive.
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Featured
1Q:25 Capital Markets Outlook Webcast—Mind the Gaps
Presented by Walt Czaicki, CFA
Although the pandemic has grown increasingly distant in the rearview mirror, many of its economic ramifications have lasted well into 2024. As we look ahead to the final quarter of the year, and into 2025, we expect the US economy to shake off the lingering effects of the pandemic and officially start a new chapter. This chapter will notably include lower rates and a new president in the White House. However, with change typically comes a degree of discomfort and uncertainty. Fortunately, a strong foundation has afforded the Fed time and flexibility to ease the US economy into a soft landing.
What We Discussed:
Get Caught Up on Last Quarter’s Outlook
October 8, 2024 / 66 min
Presented by Walt Czaicki, CFA, Eric Winograd, Matt Sheridan, CFA, and Daryl Clements
4Q:24 Capital Markets Outlook— Normalization: Endgame
Although the pandemic has grown increasingly distant in the rearview mirror, many of its economic ramifications have lasted well into 2024. As we look ahead to the final quarter of the year, and into 2025, we expect the US economy to shake off the lingering effects of the pandemic and officially start a new chapter. This chapter will notably include lower rates and a new president in the White House. However, with change typically comes a degree of discomfort and uncertainty. Fortunately, a strong foundation has afforded the Fed time and flexibility to ease the US economy into a soft landing.