New Frontiers

Central Banks Pursue Digital Currencies

15 September 2021
2 min read

What You Need to Know

Major central banks are exploring digital currencies, which seem likely to become a mainstay of tomorrow’s economy. As policymakers wrestle with the many moving parts of digital dollars, euros and yuan, their decisions will shape the next dimension in national currency—and could reshuffle international currency leadership.

2021
US Federal Reserve CBDC white paper
expected to be published
DCEP
Digital Currency Electronic Payment,
a pilot project for China’s digital currency
Privacy
Is a key consideration of CBDCs
as central banks examine their feasibility
Author
| Director—Developed Market Economic Research

Many aspects of the global financial system are already highly digitized, and the popularity of digital currencies is soaring. It was only a matter of time, then, before central banks got into the game. While the adoption of central bank digital currency isn’t widespread yet, many central banks are taking a close look—and some are much farther down the road to adoption than others.

But if the footprints of cryptocurrencies are dwarfed by the massive size of traditional national currencies, are digital national currencies worth the effort?

Central bankers believe that they are. They realize that digital currency demand will continue to grow, especially with younger consumers embracing the move to a largely cashless society. By developing a CBDC, a central bank would be ready to meet tomorrow’s society on its own terms—and keep a firmer grip on an increasingly digitized economy.

CBDCs offer a lot of promise. Implemented effectively, they could streamline electronic payments, make cross-border payments faster and more secure, and help underbanked communities access the financial system. CBDCs would facilitate digital commerce within the existing system, giving central banks an alternative to watching a growing share of economic activity move off its radar screen.

Fiscal and monetary policy effectiveness and efficiency would get a boost too, ironing out some of the wrinkles revealed during the COVID-19 pandemic. In the early days of stimulus payments, some citizens received direct deposits almost immediately; others, without access to accounts at commercial banks, suffered from delays caused by misaddressed payments or from limited access to their funds in a world that made face-to-face transactions largely impossible.

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The views expressed herein do not constitute research, investment advice or trade recommendations and do not necessarily represent the views of all AB portfolio-management teams. Views are subject to revision over time.


About the Author

Eric Winograd is a Senior Vice President and Director of Developed Market Economic Research. He joined the firm in 2017. From 2010 to 2016, Winograd was the senior economist at MKP Capital Management, a US-based diversified alternatives manager. From 2008 to 2010, he was the senior macro strategist at HSBC North America. Earlier in his career, Winograd worked at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the World Bank. He holds a BA (cum laude) in Asian studies from Dartmouth College and an MA in international studies from the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies. Location: New York